Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Jankowski wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 54.4% vs Carrick 49.5% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 58.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 58.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 55.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Jankowski
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jankowski
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (273)
49.2% (307)
+9.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
66.7% (6)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (67)
48.2% (56)
-4.9%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Jankowski is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Jankowski shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Carrick
Home
54.7% (128)
50.3% (175)
Away
56.3% (215)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Jankowski
Carrick
P1
54.5%
41.0%
P2
56.5%
51.2%
P3
56.2%
55.3%
Final 5 min
52.7%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
55.7%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |