Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.5%). Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Jankowski wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 51.7% vs Hertl 51.4% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 54.3%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 61.6%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 55.7%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Jankowski
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Jankowski
Hertl
Last 10: Jankowski 7-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
4
Jankowski
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
6
0
Jankowski
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (701)
51.7% (869)
+0.9%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
55.7% (176)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (107)
44.9% (138)
+0.9%
On power play, Jankowski has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Jankowski is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Jankowski shoots left. Hertl is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Hertl
Home
56.6% (424)
51.8% (583)
Away
47.0% (396)
51.2% (600)
By Period
Jankowski
Hertl
P1
49.3%
52.5%
P2
57.4%
50.9%
P3
49.3%
51.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 12:16 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 12:01 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 14:39 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 04:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |