Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 48.7% vs Hertl 52.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 74.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 53.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 67.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Jankowski
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Jankowski
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
2
0
Jankowski
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (126)
51.6% (1,084)
+0.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
61.0% (246)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (51)
44.1% (136)
-4.9%
On power play, Hertl has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Jankowski is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Jankowski shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Hertl
Home
45.3% (64)
55.2% (696)
Away
49.6% (115)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Jankowski
Hertl
P1
53.7%
55.4%
P2
45.8%
54.8%
P3
43.4%
48.9%
Final 5 min
58.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |