Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 54.5% vs Bjugstad 53.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 57.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 55.6%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 56.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Kastelic
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kastelic
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Kastelic
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (115)
55.9% (245)
+0.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
0.0% (3)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
57.1% (7)
+42.9%
On power play, Kastelic has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Kastelic is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Kastelic shoots right. Bjugstad is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Bjugstad
Home
54.8% (73)
53.2% (111)
Away
63.8% (47)
56.9% (144)
By Period
Kastelic
Bjugstad
P1
50.0%
44.6%
P2
62.5%
61.4%
P3
60.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |