Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.5% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (+5.2%)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 62.8%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 67.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Kastelic
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (337)
50.7% (906)
+2.7%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
48.1% (108)
+51.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
44.4% (239)
+30.6%
On power play, Kastelic has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Kastelic is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Kastelic shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Bjugstad
Home
56.2% (162)
49.8% (643)
Away
52.9% (187)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Kastelic
Bjugstad
P1
58.2%
49.4%
P2
58.8%
50.5%
P3
45.4%
47.9%
Final 5 min
59.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%