Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 65.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.4% vs Bjugstad 47.9% (+7.0%)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 77.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 68.7%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 51.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Kastelic
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (345)
46.7% (398)
+8.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
51.6% (31)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
62.5% (8)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Kastelic is 65.7% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Kastelic shoots right. Bjugstad is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Bjugstad
Home
50.6% (162)
47.3% (220)
Away
57.4% (204)
47.5% (217)
By Period
Kastelic
Bjugstad
P1
61.5%
46.1%
P2
52.8%
46.3%
P3
50.0%
50.4%
Final 5 min
46.5%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%