Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 68.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.3% vs Bjugstad 49.1% (+11.2%)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 61.7%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 70.7%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 51.2%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Kastelic
Bjugstad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (340)
48.9% (280)
+12.3%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
50.0% (6)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (141)
47.2% (36)
+8.8%
On power play, Kastelic has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Kastelic is 68.3% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Kastelic shoots right. Bjugstad is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Bjugstad
Home
60.9% (233)
48.4% (190)
Away
59.1% (254)
49.2% (132)
By Period
Kastelic
Bjugstad
P1
58.6%
41.7%
P2
58.7%
56.6%
P3
63.1%
48.7%
OT
53.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
67.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.8%