Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 54.5% vs Paul 50.4% (+7.9%)
Offensive zone
Paul 50.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 55.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 55.4%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Kastelic
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (115)
53.0% (644)
+3.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
37.5% (24)
+62.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
42.9% (177)
+57.1%
On power play, Kastelic has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kastelic is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Kastelic shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Paul
Home
54.8% (73)
52.5% (516)
Away
63.8% (47)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Kastelic
Paul
P1
50.0%
47.6%
P2
62.5%
48.4%
P3
60.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%