Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 54.5% vs Suzuki 49.6% (+8.7%)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 70.2%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 72.1%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 57.9%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Kastelic
Suzuki
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (115)
50.3% (1,075)
+6.2%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
49.3% (219)
+50.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
43.1% (116)
+56.9%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Kastelic is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Kastelic shoots right. Suzuki is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Suzuki
Home
54.8% (73)
53.6% (711)
Away
63.8% (47)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Kastelic
Suzuki
P1
50.0%
48.5%
P2
62.5%
51.7%
P3
60.0%
49.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%