Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.5% vs Suzuki 52.4% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 62.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 56.8%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 50.4%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Kastelic
Suzuki
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (337)
51.3% (1,096)
+2.1%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
59.9% (157)
+40.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
56.9% (58)
+18.1%
On power play, Kastelic has a +40.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Kastelic is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Kastelic shoots right. Suzuki is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Suzuki
Home
56.2% (162)
54.2% (638)
Away
52.9% (187)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Kastelic
Suzuki
P1
58.2%
51.5%
P2
58.8%
53.3%
P3
45.4%
52.4%
Final 5 min
59.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%