Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 68.3% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.3% vs Suzuki 50.3% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 80.0%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 87.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 50.7%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Kastelic
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kastelic
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Kastelic
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (340)
51.3% (904)
+9.9%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
49.8% (265)
+33.5%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (141)
36.8% (57)
+19.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Kastelic is 68.3% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Kastelic shoots right. Suzuki is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Suzuki
Home
60.9% (233)
50.6% (603)
Away
59.1% (254)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Kastelic
Suzuki
P1
58.6%
52.3%
P2
58.7%
47.5%
P3
63.1%
51.1%
OT
53.8%
48.6%
Final 5 min
67.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |