Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.4% vs Krebs 49.2% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 75.7%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 54.6%
Neutral zone
Krebs 56.9%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Kastelic
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kastelic
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
2
Kastelic
Krebs
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (345)
49.5% (560)
+5.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
52.6% (38)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
43.3% (67)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Krebs has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kastelic shoots right. Krebs is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Krebs
Home
50.6% (162)
49.4% (314)
Away
57.4% (204)
48.7% (351)
By Period
Kastelic
Krebs
P1
61.5%
47.0%
P2
52.8%
50.5%
P3
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |