Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +15.6% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.3% vs Krebs 45.5% (+15.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 76.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 66.6%
Neutral zone
Krebs 53.1%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Kastelic
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kastelic
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Kastelic
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (340)
44.6% (388)
+16.6%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
25.0% (4)
+58.3%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (141)
45.0% (20)
+11.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Kastelic shoots right. Krebs is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Krebs
Home
60.9% (233)
46.8% (188)
Away
59.1% (254)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Kastelic
Krebs
P1
58.6%
47.2%
P2
58.7%
44.9%
P3
63.1%
41.1%
OT
53.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
67.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |