Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 54.5% vs Hintz 52.6% (+5.3%)
Offensive zone
Hintz 79.1%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 83.3%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 50.5%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Kastelic
Hintz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (115)
52.9% (526)
+3.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
57.4% (108)
+42.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
42.5% (40)
+57.5%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +57.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Kastelic is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Kastelic shoots right. Hintz is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Hintz
Home
54.8% (73)
53.8% (329)
Away
63.8% (47)
52.2% (345)
By Period
Kastelic
Hintz
P1
50.0%
55.6%
P2
62.5%
53.0%
P3
60.0%
51.7%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%