Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kastelic wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 56.5% vs Hintz 53.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 82.4%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 87.2%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 57.0%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Kastelic
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Kastelic
Hintz
Last 10: Kastelic 6-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
5
Kastelic
Hintz
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
3
1
Kastelic
Hintz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
4
2
Kastelic
Hintz
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,613)
53.8% (3,722)
+3.2%
Power Play
80.0% (25)
55.4% (567)
+24.6%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (274)
52.9% (221)
+0.7%
On power play, Kastelic has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Kastelic shoots right. Hintz is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,728).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Hintz
Home
58.9% (895)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
55.1% (1,017)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
Kastelic
Hintz
P1
58.5%
55.5%
P2
56.9%
53.9%
P3
55.3%
52.7%
OT
53.8%
49.3%
Final 5 min
59.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 01:38 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |