Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 55.9% vs Hintz 51.6% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 85.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 76.5%
Neutral zone
Hintz 54.8%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Kastelic
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kastelic
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Kastelic
Hintz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
Kastelic
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (476)
52.6% (439)
+5.4%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
37.9% (29)
+37.1%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (106)
63.6% (11)
-12.7%
On power play, Kastelic has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Kastelic shoots right. Hintz is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Hintz
Home
64.9% (265)
53.5% (256)
Away
50.5% (325)
50.2% (223)
By Period
Kastelic
Hintz
P1
58.5%
59.5%
P2
55.6%
49.2%
P3
56.8%
47.1%
Final 5 min
62.6%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |