Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (60.0% vs 59.1%). Kastelic wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 58.3% vs Hintz 58.0% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 84.0%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 83.1%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 50.9%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Kastelic
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kastelic
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Kastelic
Hintz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
0
Kastelic
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (340)
58.7% (530)
+2.5%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
59.4% (170)
+23.9%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (141)
66.7% (27)
-10.7%
On power play, Kastelic has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Kastelic shoots right. Hintz is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Hintz
Home
60.9% (233)
60.2% (354)
Away
59.1% (254)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Kastelic
Hintz
P1
58.6%
58.4%
P2
58.7%
59.8%
P3
63.1%
58.2%
OT
53.8%
81.8%
Final 5 min
67.5%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |