Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.5% vs Hintz 55.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 74.0%
Defensive zone
Hintz 53.3%
Neutral zone
Hintz 61.6%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Kastelic
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kastelic
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Kastelic
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
0
Kastelic
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (337)
56.3% (512)
-2.9%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
63.3% (30)
+36.7%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
45.8% (24)
+29.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Kastelic shoots right. Hintz is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Hintz
Home
56.2% (162)
57.3% (262)
Away
52.9% (187)
55.3% (304)
By Period
Kastelic
Hintz
P1
58.2%
54.8%
P2
58.8%
56.0%
P3
45.4%
57.5%
Final 5 min
59.5%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 08:56 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 3 | 01:38 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |