Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 54.5% vs Aho 52.2% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 83.7%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 77.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 53.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 83.7%
16.3%
83.7%
Kastelic
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kastelic
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Kastelic
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (115)
51.6% (819)
+4.9%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
58.4% (173)
+41.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
46.3% (67)
+53.7%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +53.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kastelic is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Kastelic shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Aho
Home
54.8% (73)
53.9% (568)
Away
63.8% (47)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Kastelic
Aho
P1
50.0%
55.4%
P2
62.5%
51.2%
P3
60.0%
50.9%
Final 5 min
47.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |