Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 55.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.4% vs Aho 54.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 86.9%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 83.3%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 52.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 86.9%
13.1%
86.9%
Kastelic
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kastelic
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Kastelic
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (345)
54.5% (870)
+0.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
62.4% (266)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
37.1% (62)
-1.8%
On power play, Aho has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kastelic shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Aho
Home
50.6% (162)
53.9% (603)
Away
57.4% (204)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Kastelic
Aho
P1
61.5%
54.1%
P2
52.8%
55.0%
P3
50.0%
57.4%
Final 5 min
46.5%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |