Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.4% vs Gourde 49.7% (+4.8%)
Offensive zone
Gourde 69.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 70.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 50.5%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Kastelic
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (345)
51.2% (469)
+4.2%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
42.9% (21)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (17)
37.5% (48)
-2.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kastelic shoots right. Gourde is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Gourde
Home
50.6% (162)
47.8% (301)
Away
57.4% (204)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Kastelic
Gourde
P1
61.5%
47.3%
P2
52.8%
53.4%
P3
50.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
46.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%