Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Kastelic wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kastelic 53.5% vs Gourde 48.0% (+6.6%)
Offensive zone
Gourde 53.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 51.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 52.0%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Kastelic
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kastelic
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (337)
48.0% (914)
+5.4%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
54.2% (48)
+45.8%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
43.9% (123)
+31.1%
On power play, Kastelic has a +45.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Kastelic shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Kastelic
Gourde
Home
56.2% (162)
50.2% (512)
Away
52.9% (187)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Kastelic
Gourde
P1
58.2%
50.0%
P2
58.8%
45.3%
P3
45.4%
48.6%
Final 5 min
59.5%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%