Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.8%). Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 49.6% vs Scheifele 49.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 29-18 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 53.2%
Defensive zone
McDavid 54.8%
Neutral zone
McDavid 53.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
McDavid
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
29
(47 meetings)
18
29
McDavid
Scheifele
Last 10: McDavid 1-9 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
11
McDavid
Scheifele
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
8
5
McDavid
Scheifele
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
8
13
McDavid
Scheifele
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (621)
48.5% (631)
+0.6%
Power Play
78.6% (14)
67.2% (61)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
33.3% (15)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. McDavid is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (182).
McDavid shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
McDavid
Scheifele
Home
56.1% (330)
52.0% (358)
Away
42.5% (308)
47.6% (349)
By Period
McDavid
Scheifele
P1
49.2%
46.3%
P2
47.4%
50.9%
P3
53.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 10:56 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 07:24 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 10:36 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 15:11 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |