Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 50.6% vs Scheifele 43.9% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 90.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 72.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 80.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Tavares
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Tavares
Scheifele
Last 6: Tavares 6-0 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Scheifele
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,202)
43.9% (1,136)
+4.8%
Power Play
59.3% (305)
43.0% (237)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (121)
38.6% (88)
+9.3%
On power play, Tavares has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Tavares is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (556).
Tavares shoots left. Scheifele is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,035).
Home / Away
Tavares
Scheifele
Home
52.1% (841)
45.3% (739)
Away
49.0% (787)
41.6% (722)
By Period
Tavares
Scheifele
P1
52.2%
45.6%
P2
50.7%
42.6%
P3
49.7%
42.8%
OT
37.9%
26.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | John Tavares |