Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Scheifele wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.5% vs Dowd 51.6% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 86.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 51.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 67.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Scheifele
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Scheifele
Dowd
Last 6: Scheifele 1-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Scheifele
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Scheifele
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (1,277)
51.2% (381)
-5.2%
Power Play
50.4% (339)
100.0% (2)
-49.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (120)
53.9% (89)
-16.4%
On power play, Dowd has a +49.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Scheifele is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (563).
Scheifele shoots right. Dowd is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Dowd
Home
49.0% (836)
54.6% (218)
Away
43.7% (900)
49.6% (254)
By Period
Scheifele
Dowd
P1
46.4%
50.6%
P2
46.0%
55.1%
P3
46.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2018 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 1 | 11:04 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |