Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Dowd 50.7% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 93.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 80.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Scheifele
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Scheifele
Dowd
Last 10: Scheifele 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
0
Scheifele
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
7
Scheifele
Dowd
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
55.2% (625)
-7.4%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
57.1% (7)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
38.2% (220)
+22.5%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Scheifele shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Dowd
Home
50.7% (611)
53.7% (445)
Away
45.1% (596)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Scheifele
Dowd
P1
51.4%
48.8%
P2
47.3%
49.3%
P3
45.0%
54.0%
OT
53.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 01:06 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |