Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 50.6% vs Dowd 53.3% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 89.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Scheifele
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Scheifele
Dowd
Last 6: Scheifele 3-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
0
Scheifele
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Scheifele
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Scheifele
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (649)
55.4% (771)
-6.1%
Power Play
55.7% (183)
57.1% (7)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
45.5% (165)
+4.5%
On even strength, Dowd has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Scheifele is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Scheifele shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Dowd
Home
52.3% (440)
58.2% (462)
Away
49.0% (408)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Scheifele
Dowd
P1
52.3%
55.6%
P2
50.4%
50.5%
P3
51.4%
53.9%
OT
25.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |