Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 48.1%). Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Dowd 48.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 92.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Scheifele
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Scheifele
Dowd
Last 10: Scheifele 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
0
Scheifele
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Scheifele
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Scheifele
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
49.2% (778)
-1.1%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
58.3% (12)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
44.0% (234)
+0.4%
On power play, Dowd has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Scheifele shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Dowd
Home
52.7% (630)
46.3% (492)
Away
43.5% (623)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Scheifele
Dowd
P1
50.3%
49.1%
P2
46.8%
48.2%
P3
47.5%
46.9%
OT
36.4%
71.4%
Final 5 min
51.3%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:45 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |