Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (54% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Paul 52.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 27-24 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 64.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 82.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 65.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Scheifele
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
24
(51 meetings)
27
24
Scheifele
Paul
Last 10: Scheifele 4-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
13
11
Scheifele
Paul
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
8
7
Scheifele
Paul
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Scheifele
Paul
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
52.5% (3,796)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
56.5% (480)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
46.7% (574)
-5.1%
On power play, Paul has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Scheifele shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Paul
Home
48.9% (7,644)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Scheifele
Paul
P1
48.2%
53.9%
P2
45.6%
51.0%
P3
46.8%
52.0%
OT
42.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 11:42 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 08:02 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Nick Paul |