Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Paul 53.4% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 60.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 84.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 66.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Scheifele
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Scheifele
Paul
Last 5: Scheifele 3-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Scheifele
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
53.8% (753)
-6.0%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
58.9% (90)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
47.4% (78)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Scheifele shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Paul
Home
50.7% (611)
54.2% (450)
Away
45.1% (596)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Scheifele
Paul
P1
51.4%
58.2%
P2
47.3%
50.6%
P3
45.0%
52.9%
OT
53.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 19:20 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:34 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |