Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 50.6% vs Paul 50.4% (+0.3%)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 81.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 74.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 51.6%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Scheifele
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (649)
53.0% (644)
-3.7%
Power Play
55.7% (183)
37.5% (24)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
42.9% (177)
+7.1%
On power play, Scheifele has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Scheifele is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Scheifele shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Paul
Home
52.3% (440)
52.5% (516)
Away
49.0% (408)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Scheifele
Paul
P1
52.3%
47.6%
P2
50.4%
48.4%
P3
51.4%
54.5%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%