Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 50.0%). Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Paul 50.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 69.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 72.9%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.6%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Scheifele
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Scheifele
Paul
Last 10: Scheifele 4-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
5
3
Scheifele
Paul
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
4
Scheifele
Paul
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
48.8% (666)
-0.1%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
53.8% (65)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
60.0% (55)
-16.8%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Scheifele shoots right. Paul is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Paul
Home
50.0% (672)
49.7% (348)
Away
48.8% (596)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Scheifele
Paul
P1
51.4%
51.0%
P2
45.1%
47.4%
P3
51.9%
51.5%
OT
58.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 11:42 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 01:20 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 08:02 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |