Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Paul 53.3% (-7.2%)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 65.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 70.8%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 52.8%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Scheifele
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
53.2% (327)
-6.7%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
61.4% (57)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
50.0% (32)
+0.0%
On power play, Paul has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Scheifele shoots right. Paul is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Paul
Home
46.2% (571)
54.6% (183)
Away
47.7% (535)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Scheifele
Paul
P1
51.9%
56.3%
P2
45.6%
54.8%
P3
43.9%
52.4%
OT
27.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.7%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%