Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.0% vs 47.3%). Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 61.6%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 64.3%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.6%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Scheifele
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Scheifele
Suzuki
Last 6: Scheifele 3-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Suzuki
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
3
Scheifele
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
47.0% (1,066)
+0.8%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
49.5% (204)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
46.6% (131)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Scheifele shoots right. Suzuki is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Suzuki
Home
50.7% (611)
49.4% (686)
Away
45.1% (596)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Scheifele
Suzuki
P1
51.4%
45.6%
P2
47.3%
46.9%
P3
45.0%
49.8%
OT
53.8%
38.1%
Final 5 min
44.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 3, 2022 | OT | 01:03 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |