Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Suzuki 51.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 50.4%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 55.0%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Scheifele
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Scheifele
Suzuki
Last 10: Scheifele 5-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Scheifele
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
4
Scheifele
Suzuki
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
52.4% (981)
-3.7%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
50.7% (304)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
36.4% (33)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Scheifele shoots right. Suzuki is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Suzuki
Home
50.0% (672)
53.2% (645)
Away
48.8% (596)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Scheifele
Suzuki
P1
51.4%
48.9%
P2
45.1%
51.5%
P3
51.9%
54.9%
OT
58.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 13:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:35 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 14:58 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |