Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Suzuki 52.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 67.5%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 84.7%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 79.2%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 79.0%
21.0%
79.0%
Scheifele
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Scheifele
Suzuki
Last 8: Scheifele 6-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
1
Scheifele
Suzuki
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
0
Scheifele
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
51.3% (1,096)
-3.2%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
59.9% (157)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
56.9% (58)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Scheifele shoots right. Suzuki is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Suzuki
Home
52.7% (630)
54.2% (638)
Away
43.5% (623)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Scheifele
Suzuki
P1
50.3%
51.5%
P2
46.8%
53.3%
P3
47.5%
52.4%
OT
36.4%
58.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:42 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:28 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:17 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |