Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 33 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 46.8% vs Suzuki 49.3% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 45-35 in 80 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 58.3%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 58.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 59.8%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Scheifele
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
45
(80 meetings)
35
45
Scheifele
Suzuki
Last 10: Scheifele 3-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
13
7
Scheifele
Suzuki
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
10
17
Scheifele
Suzuki
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
12
21
Scheifele
Suzuki
33 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (12,036)
49.4% (6,327)
-3.1%
Power Play
50.2% (2,563)
50.7% (1,338)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (598)
43.6% (456)
-2.0%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,377).
Scheifele shoots right. Suzuki is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,208).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Suzuki
Home
48.9% (7,644)
51.0% (3,997)
Away
44.7% (7,554)
47.6% (4,124)
By Period
Scheifele
Suzuki
P1
48.2%
48.8%
P2
45.6%
49.1%
P3
46.8%
50.2%
OT
42.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:26 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:31 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 17:51 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |