Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Scheifele wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Suzuki 50.3% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 70.0%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 71.6%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 70.7%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Scheifele
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Scheifele
Suzuki
Last 10: Scheifele 3-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
1
Scheifele
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
4
Scheifele
Suzuki
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
8
Scheifele
Suzuki
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
51.3% (904)
-4.8%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
49.8% (265)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
36.8% (57)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Scheifele is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Scheifele shoots right. Suzuki is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Suzuki
Home
46.2% (571)
50.6% (603)
Away
47.7% (535)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Scheifele
Suzuki
P1
51.9%
52.3%
P2
45.6%
47.5%
P3
43.9%
51.1%
OT
27.3%
48.6%
Final 5 min
47.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:26 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 15:31 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:59 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 17:51 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |