Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 50.6% vs Sturm 52.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 84.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 77.6%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.3%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Scheifele
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Scheifele
Sturm
Last 10: Scheifele 4-6 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Sturm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
4
Scheifele
Sturm
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (649)
54.0% (480)
-4.7%
Power Play
55.7% (183)
28.6% (7)
+27.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
50.0% (102)
+0.0%
On power play, Scheifele has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Scheifele is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Scheifele shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Sturm
Home
52.3% (440)
54.0% (287)
Away
49.0% (408)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Scheifele
Sturm
P1
52.3%
53.5%
P2
50.4%
51.0%
P3
51.4%
55.1%
OT
25.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 14:45 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 03:30 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |