Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Sturm 59.0% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 87.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 55.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 70.1%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Scheifele
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Scheifele
Sturm
Last 5: Scheifele 1-4 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Scheifele
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Scheifele
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Scheifele
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
60.6% (708)
-12.5%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
61.1% (18)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
56.4% (101)
-12.0%
On even strength, Sturm has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Scheifele shoots right. Sturm is 67.8% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Sturm
Home
52.7% (630)
61.6% (451)
Away
43.5% (623)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Scheifele
Sturm
P1
50.3%
55.9%
P2
46.8%
58.9%
P3
47.5%
64.6%
OT
36.4%
70.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |