Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Sturm 55.2% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Sturm 52.5%
Defensive zone
Sturm 95.5%
Neutral zone
Sturm 78.1%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Scheifele
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Scheifele
Sturm
Last 10: Scheifele 7-3 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
0
Scheifele
Sturm
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
2
Scheifele
Sturm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
1
Scheifele
Sturm
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
56.1% (716)
-8.3%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
67.7% (31)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
51.1% (133)
+9.6%
On power play, Sturm has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Scheifele shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Sturm
Home
50.7% (611)
55.6% (412)
Away
45.1% (596)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Scheifele
Sturm
P1
51.4%
59.6%
P2
47.3%
52.0%
P3
45.0%
55.5%
OT
53.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 03:42 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 13:04 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |