Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Scheifele wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Roy 51.9% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 75.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 88.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 59.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Scheifele
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Scheifele
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
51.9% (547)
-5.4%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
54.1% (37)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
53.3% (92)
-3.3%
On power play, Roy has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Scheifele is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Scheifele shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Roy
Home
46.2% (571)
54.0% (328)
Away
47.7% (535)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Scheifele
Roy
P1
51.9%
53.5%
P2
45.6%
51.6%
P3
43.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
47.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |