Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 50.6% vs Roy 48.9% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 72.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 67.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 54.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Scheifele
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Scheifele
Roy
Last 9: Scheifele 5-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
2
Scheifele
Roy
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Scheifele
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (649)
49.5% (746)
-0.2%
Power Play
55.7% (183)
50.7% (75)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
42.7% (110)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Scheifele is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Scheifele shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Roy
Home
52.3% (440)
47.7% (491)
Away
49.0% (408)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Scheifele
Roy
P1
52.3%
51.1%
P2
50.4%
44.6%
P3
51.4%
50.9%
OT
25.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 11:06 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 00:07 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 08:52 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |