Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.0% vs 48.0%). Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Roy 48.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 76.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 78.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Scheifele
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Scheifele
Roy
Last 10: Scheifele 4-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
1
Scheifele
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Scheifele
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
4
Scheifele
Roy
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
48.3% (633)
-0.5%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
52.1% (48)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
43.7% (87)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Scheifele shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Roy
Home
50.7% (611)
50.8% (376)
Away
45.1% (596)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Scheifele
Roy
P1
51.4%
53.8%
P2
47.3%
43.5%
P3
45.0%
46.4%
OT
53.8%
75.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |