Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 49.9%). Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 50.6% vs Thomas 49.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 55.7%
Defensive zone
Thomas 60.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 54.5%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Scheifele
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Scheifele
Thomas
Last 7: Scheifele 3-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Scheifele
Thomas
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Scheifele
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (649)
49.0% (910)
+0.3%
Power Play
55.7% (183)
53.5% (142)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
53.3% (75)
-3.3%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Scheifele is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Scheifele shoots right. Thomas is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Thomas
Home
52.3% (440)
47.3% (514)
Away
49.0% (408)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Scheifele
Thomas
P1
52.3%
50.4%
P2
50.4%
47.5%
P3
51.4%
51.4%
OT
25.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:11 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 1 | 06:08 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 9, 2021 | OT | 03:15 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 9, 2021 | OT | 01:49 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |