Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.3% vs Thomas 52.9% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 68.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 56.6%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 52.8%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Scheifele
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Scheifele
Thomas
Last 10: Scheifele 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
5
2
Scheifele
Thomas
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
6
Scheifele
Thomas
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Scheifele
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (1,045)
53.2% (1,166)
-5.1%
Power Play
48.6% (181)
56.9% (262)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
48.4% (221)
-4.0%
On power play, Thomas has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Scheifele is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Scheifele shoots right. Thomas is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Thomas
Home
52.7% (630)
51.6% (830)
Away
43.5% (623)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Scheifele
Thomas
P1
50.3%
52.7%
P2
46.8%
55.6%
P3
47.5%
50.6%
OT
36.4%
61.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 04:47 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:10 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 09:40 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 05:25 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:55 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |