Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Scheifele wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 49.5% vs Thomas 54.5% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 66.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 54.5%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 58.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Scheifele
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
19
(34 meetings)
15
19
Scheifele
Thomas
Last 10: Scheifele 7-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
7
4
Scheifele
Thomas
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
5
8
Scheifele
Thomas
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
7
Scheifele
Thomas
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (981)
55.3% (990)
-6.6%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
54.2% (190)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
52.5% (158)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Scheifele shoots right. Thomas is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Thomas
Home
50.0% (672)
55.1% (690)
Away
48.8% (596)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Scheifele
Thomas
P1
51.4%
55.5%
P2
45.1%
56.4%
P3
51.9%
51.5%
OT
58.3%
69.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 17:58 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 14:32 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 02:34 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 22, 2025 | OT | 01:03 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |