Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Scheifele wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Thomas 51.7% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 68.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 65.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 52.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Scheifele
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Scheifele
Thomas
Last 6: Scheifele 3-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
0
Scheifele
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Scheifele
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
Scheifele
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (878)
50.1% (615)
-3.6%
Power Play
48.3% (174)
62.2% (98)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
52.6% (114)
-2.6%
On power play, Thomas has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Scheifele is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Scheifele shoots right. Thomas is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Thomas
Home
46.2% (571)
51.9% (374)
Away
47.7% (535)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Scheifele
Thomas
P1
51.9%
49.2%
P2
45.6%
55.3%
P3
43.9%
50.6%
OT
27.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |