Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Scheifele wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 48.1% vs Thomas 52.7% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 71.9%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 65.0%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 64.2%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Scheifele
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Scheifele
Thomas
Last 10: Scheifele 3-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
3
0
Scheifele
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
5
Scheifele
Thomas
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
3
Scheifele
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (960)
53.6% (924)
-5.8%
Power Play
47.0% (219)
55.2% (181)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
60.7% (28)
44.0% (116)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Scheifele shoots right. Thomas is 59.4% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Thomas
Home
50.7% (611)
53.6% (606)
Away
45.1% (596)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Scheifele
Thomas
P1
51.4%
48.2%
P2
47.3%
55.3%
P3
45.0%
55.2%
OT
53.8%
47.1%
Final 5 min
44.7%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 19, 2023 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:27 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |