Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.0%). Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 50.6% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 62.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 60.5%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 50.3%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Scheifele
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Scheifele
Stamkos
Last 6: Scheifele 3-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
3
Scheifele
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (649)
49.3% (789)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.7% (183)
56.9% (181)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
54.1% (98)
-4.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Scheifele is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Scheifele shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Stamkos
Home
52.3% (440)
52.0% (512)
Away
49.0% (408)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Scheifele
Stamkos
P1
52.3%
42.1%
P2
50.4%
56.4%
P3
51.4%
53.7%
OT
25.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 06:59 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |